The TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Files
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Predictions

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Polymarket and Altus Alpha Predictions

Tools for professional traders.

Akte Hoffe — Club-Dossier TSG Hoffenheim
Predictions
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Frequently Asked Questions
Where does Hoffenheim stand in the table?
Hoffenheim are 14th with 6 points after 6 matchdays. Goal difference: -3.
What is the Pinnacle Oracle?
The Oracle removes the bookmaker margin (vig) from Pinnacle odds and normalizes to 100% — the sharpest available probability estimate.

Pinnacle Oracle

Oracle Pipeline BETA

Four stages, one question: where does Hoffenheim's probability come from — and what moves it?

SC Paderborn vs Hoffenheim · Sun, 09/20, 05:30 PM

1

Base Model

Table + ppg

Home55.4%
Draw24%
Away20.6%

Hoffenheim: 20.6%

2

Adjustments

Statistical Intelligence

  • ⚪ Hoffenheim away 0.0pp
Home55.4%
Draw24%
Away20.6%

Hoffenheim: 20.6% (0.0pp)

3

Pinnacle Oracle

Vig-removed

Home21.1%
Draw25.5%
Away53.4%

Hoffenheim: 53.4%

4

Smart Money

Line movement

Stage 4 in development — line history will be persisted from next season.

Model vs. Pinnacle: -32.8pp — Pipeline model sees Hoffenheim weaker than Pinnacle

The pipeline is transparent: Stage 1 is a simple table model, Stage 2 applies significant splits from Statistical Intelligence, Stage 3 shows what Pinnacle (the sharpest bookmaker in the world) says. Stage 4 (sharp-money line movement) will follow once we persist line history.

Oracle data unavailable. Next update cycle shortly.

Value Signals

No active Polymarket events for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Oracle data only.

Community Forecasts

Metaculus-style forecasts — no real money, fully compliant.

All 73 questions on Akte Bundesliga Forecasts →

Bundesliga Table · Matchday 7

# Club MP W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern 6 4 2 0 +17 14
2 BVB 6 4 2 0 +7 14
3 Freiburg 6 4 1 1 +9 13
4 Leverkusen 6 4 1 1 +7 13
5 Mainz 6 3 1 2 +4 10
6 Elversberg 6 3 1 2 +1 10
7 Leipzig 6 3 0 3 +5 9
8 Werder 6 2 3 1 0 9
9 HSV 6 3 0 3 -9 9
10 Augsburg 6 2 2 2 +4 8
11 Eintracht 6 2 2 2 -6 8
12 Koeln 6 2 1 3 -3 7
13 Stuttgart 7 2 0 5 -3 6
14 Hoffenheim 6 2 0 4 -3 6
15 Schalke 04 6 1 2 3 -3 5
16 Paderborn 6 1 2 3 -4 5
17 Union 6 1 2 3 -12 5
18 Gladbach 7 1 0 6 -11 3