The TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Files
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Predictions

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Polymarket and Altus Alpha Predictions

Tools for professional traders.

Next Match
Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart
Kickoff
Sat 12 Sept, 13:30
Oracle
41.2% / 23.7% / 35.1%
Akte Hoffe — Club-Dossier TSG Hoffenheim
Predictions
Deutsch
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Hoffenheim's win probability against Stuttgart?
The Pinnacle Oracle calculates 41.2% win probability for Hoffenheim (home).
Where does Hoffenheim stand in the table?
Hoffenheim are 16th with 0 points after 2 matchdays. Goal difference: -2.
What is the Pinnacle Oracle?
The Oracle removes the bookmaker margin (vig) from Pinnacle odds and normalizes to 100% — the sharpest available probability estimate.

Pinnacle Oracle

Oracle Pipeline BETA

Four stages, one question: where does Hoffenheim's probability come from — and what moves it?

Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart · Sat, 09/12, 01:30 PM

1

Base Model

Table + ppg

Home4%
Draw24%
Away72%

Hoffenheim: 4%

2

Adjustments

Statistical Intelligence

  • ⚪ Hoffenheim home 0.0pp
  • 🟡 Versus top-6 opponent 0.0pp
Home4%
Draw24%
Away72%

Hoffenheim: 4% (0.0pp)

3

Pinnacle Oracle

Vig-removed

Home41.2%
Draw23.7%
Away35.1%

Hoffenheim: 41.2%

4

Smart Money

Line movement

Stage 4 in development — line history will be persisted from next season.

Model vs. Pinnacle: -37.2pp — Pipeline model sees Hoffenheim weaker than Pinnacle

The pipeline is transparent: Stage 1 is a simple table model, Stage 2 applies significant splits from Statistical Intelligence, Stage 3 shows what Pinnacle (the sharpest bookmaker in the world) says. Stage 4 (sharp-money line movement) will follow once we persist line history.

Source: Pinnacle via TheOddsAPI · Updated: Wed 9 Sept, 12:00

Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart Sat 12 Sept, 13:30
Hoffenheim 41.2% 2.35
Draw 23.7% 4.08
Stuttgart 35.1% 2.76
Spread Hoffenheim -0.25 @ 2.08
Total O/U 3.5 @ 1.97 / 1.92
Margin: 3.29%
SC Paderborn vs Hoffenheim Sun 20 Sept, 17:30
SC Paderborn 21.1% 4.49
Draw 21.4% 4.44
Hoffenheim 57.5% 1.65
Spread SC Paderborn +0.75 @ 2.05
Total O/U 3.25 @ 1.84 / 2.00
Margin: 5.40%

Value Signals

No active Polymarket events for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Oracle data only.

Community Forecasts

Metaculus-style forecasts — no real money, fully compliant.

All 73 questions on Akte Bundesliga Forecasts →

Bundesliga Table · Matchday 2

# Club MP W D L GD Pts
1 Augsburg 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Freiburg 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 BVB 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Elversberg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Mainz 2 1 1 0 +5 4
6 Bayern 2 1 1 0 +4 4
7 Leverkusen 2 1 0 1 +3 3
8 Leipzig 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Stuttgart 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Werder 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Koeln 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Paderborn 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Eintracht 2 0 1 1 -3 1
14 Schalke 04 2 0 1 1 -3 1
15 Union 2 0 1 1 -4 1
16 Hoffenheim 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Gladbach 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 HSV 2 0 0 2 -7 0